Recent News & Flight Blog

Well, here it is, the all important Memorial Holiday Weekend Forecast, as it stands right now on 5/25 @ 8 AM. Unfortunately, today looks to possibly be the best day through the weekend. The weather looks to get warmer and become unsettled right through Sunday, especially on Friday into Saturday. We start-out with Wednesday as a beautiful mild, sunny day and light winds. The nice conditions should last through most of the night. Overnight, a Low Pressure Center is forecast to move to the Eastern Great Lakes, bringing a Warm Front toward the Northeast. A pre frontal trough will be over the area on Thursday morning, with the Warm Front moving north, stalling along the Canadian Border. There will be a chance of rain and convection as the Front moves through, leaving the area with increasing warmth and humidity. Waves of Low Pressure will move along the front, keeping the area unsettled. Friday looks to be the most active day as the Front sags south and stalls over the Forecast Area, providing a focus for convection. Saturday and Sunday will feature a warm and humid air mass. A series of disturbances will move through on Saturday and Sunday ahead of a Cold Front, bringing a chance of rain and thunder. Most convection will be tied to peak heating of the day, mid to late afternoons. The Front will lift north as a Warm Front Sunday night, leaving us with Hot and Dry conditions on Monday and Tuesday. OK, to summarize; a beautiful Wednesday, not so Thursday and Friday, chances of rain and storms on Saturday and Sunday – especially in the afternoon, hot and dry on Monday and Tuesday. Happy Holidays everybody, enjoy the weekend!

In a word, the forecast is not good. Wednesday looks like the only dry day all week. We have a warm front today, a cold front tomorrow, other disturbances Thursday and Friday, which they currently are forecasting to stall, with waves of low pressure moving along the stalled front. Basically it means, a continuous period of on and off rain showers and storms thru the weekend. Check back later in the week for updates as we get closer to the Memorial Holiday Weekend.

The forecast for the weekend is advertising improving weather daily, with Sunday being the best day of the weekend. Depending on whether you are a glass half full or half empty type of person, the forecast for next week currently offers some for both. The current near-term forecast is advertising breaks in the overcast and some sun, improving each day thru the weekend. We will still be under the influence of an upper level disturbance through Saturday, and with the daily increase of breaks in the overcast and with the instability aloft, billowing clouds will form with chances of showers and storms each afternoon thru Saturday. A brief period of high pressure will move-in for overnight Saturday and early Sunday, before a warm front begins to influence our weather by Sunday afternoon with chance of showers, again. Fog could be an issue for Sunday morning unless the high brings very dry air aloft, otherwise all the dampness from the recent rain will be sure to cause extensive fog if the sky clears overnight on Saturday. Now this is where you glass half full or half empty folks come in, after the warm front passes, we will be under the influence of a warm, moist southwest flow (probably scattered showers in the afternoon due to instability). One computer model keeps us in that moist southwest flow for most of the coming week, and one brings a cold front through our area late Tuesday, with improving conditions by Wednesday morning. This is backed-up by the HPC 7 day long range forecast maps. I’ll go with the HPC (the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center), how’s that for a name.

The forecast for this weekend and a good deal of next week, is not exactly favorable for doing much flying. While we’ve had some beautiful weather this past week, not much of it was flyable due to windy conditions from the coastal storm. That’s too bad, because right now, we are getting our most colorful spring look to the countryside. All the flowering trees are in full bloom and the leaves are just unfurling with a varied hue of green and red, that will all become a monotone shade of green when they are at full size.

The soft pastel look of the countryside on our May 12 flight